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Dream Destin Realty

Miramar Beach · Building Market Report

Ariel Dunes

Every number a buyer, seller, or investor needs on one building: live inventory, closed-sale history, rental benchmarks, and the neighborhood around it - refreshed monthly from MLS and market data.

Inventory updated daily · Sale statistics updated September 22, 2026 · Next statistics update early October 2026

How the building is trading

18 units closed at Ariel Dunes in the trailing 12 months at a median of $527,500, with a 94.9% median list-to-sale ratio. On the active side, 11 of 24 listings sit below original list price, and standing inventory works out to 16.0 months of supply at the current sales pace.

Two separately recorded condominiums share this name, and their unit numbers do not line up: one tower begins on a first level, the other on a second, so matching designators sit at different heights. A designator ending in 04 at 122 Seascape Boulevard is one level lower than the same digits at 112, which is a real difference in a stack this tall and an easy one to miss when two listings look interchangeable. The towers are not the same size either, 220 residences at 112 against 229 at 122, with ten repeating on most levels and six on the twenty-fourth, so the top of either stack is a small cohort. Elevation is what moves price in a twenty-four level stack, which means a figure blended across both towers describes almost none of the residences in either. Position is the second variable and it is fixed, because no parcel here touches the water and about 1,000 feet of other owners' ground stands between the towers and the seaward limit of platted land. Read a listing by its tower, then its level band, then by what the declaration actually grants beyond the building line. Patience here means waiting for a specific band to produce a listing, not waiting for an average to move.

-4.4%Median sale price YoY
-1.3%Sold $/sq ft YoY
+23.5%Closed sales YoY21 vs 17 closings
-36.0%Days on market YoY

Year-over-year figures compare the 12 complete calendar months from September 2025 through August 2026 with the 12 before them. That window can differ from the trailing totals above, which run day-precise through September 22, 2026 rather than by whole calendar months.

$545K$585K$625K$578K$528K$538K202120222023202420252026 YTD
Median sale price by year at Ariel Dunes
Median sale price by year at Ariel Dunes
PeriodValue
2021$545K
2022$585K
2023$625K
2024$578K
2025$528K
2026 YTD$538K
$466$557$525$522$436$442202120222023202420252026 YTD
Median sold price per square foot by year
Median sold price per square foot by year
PeriodValue
2021$466
2022$557
2023$525
2024$522
2025$436
2026 YTD$442
042Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Aug 26
Closed sales by month, trailing 24 months
Closed sales by month, trailing 24 months
PeriodValue
Sep 240
Oct 244
Nov 240
Dec 240
Jan 253
Feb 252
Mar 251
Apr 250
May 250
Jun 253
Jul 252
Aug 252
Sep 253
Oct 253
Nov 250
Dec 251
Jan 262
Feb 262
Mar 264
Apr 261
May 263
Jun 260
Jul 260
Aug 262
$703KSep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Aug 26
Median sale price by month, trailing 24 months
Median sale price by month, trailing 24 months
PeriodValue
Sep 24No data
Oct 24$550K
Nov 24No data
Dec 24No data
Jan 25$545K
Feb 25Sample too small
Mar 25Sample too small
Apr 25No data
May 25No data
Jun 25$515K
Jul 25Sample too small
Aug 25Sample too small
Sep 25$485K
Oct 25$525K
Nov 25No data
Dec 25Sample too small
Jan 26Sample too small
Feb 26Sample too small
Mar 26$703K
Apr 26Sample too small
May 26$545K
Jun 26No data
Jul 26No data
Aug 26Sample too small

The monthly charts cover the 24 complete calendar months from September 2024 through August 2026, and a month with no closings is a zero bar rather than a gap. Their last 12 months are the window the year-over-year figures compare.

Based on information from ECAR for the period September 23, 2021 through September 22, 2026.

From the active file

23 units are on the market at Ariel Dunes today - a sample of the current file:

The short-term rental badge above is not a permission of record. It reflects the MLS short-term-rental field where a listing discloses one, and otherwise where the home sits. Confirm the association's current rules and the local registration requirement before relying on it.

The investor file

Acquisition profile - computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty
Typical acquisition (median, 12 mo)$527,500
Middle-half range (25th-75th pct, 38 priced sales / 24 mo)$481,250 - $581,250
Median price, 2021 to 2026-1.2% ($545,000 to $538,250)
Average sale price (12 mo)$540,667
Sales volume, trailing 12 months$9,732,000
Sale price range, trailing 12 months$350,000 - $802,000
Activity by bedroom count at Ariel Dunes
BedroomsActiveSold (12 mo)Median Sale Price
1 BR73$367,500
2 BR148$520,000
3 BR37$700,000

Based on information from ECAR for the period September 23, 2021 through September 22, 2026.

What similar rentals earn nearby

$217/night

Average Daily Rate

Trailing 12 months, average across Miramar Beach condos, 1-3 bedrooms

52%

Occupancy

Guest, owner and held nights over calendar nights, across Miramar Beach condos, 1-3 bedrooms

46 nights

Owner Use

Owner and maintenance nights per rental, trailing 12 months, across Miramar Beach condos, 1-3 bedrooms

$91 to $321

Monthly Rate Range

Average nightly rate by month, lowest in January, highest in July

1472

Rentals Tracked

Units in Miramar Beach condos, 1-3 bedrooms

5 nights

Average Stay

70 days

Booking Window

Average lead time before arrival

Revenue by season (peak months shaded)

Market data by Key Data · 1472 similar rentals tracked (Miramar Beach condos, 1-3 bedrooms) · Sep 2025 to Aug 2026

Market statistics reflect the trailing performance of similar rental properties in this market, not this specific property, and are opinions of potential performance, not a guarantee of income. Performance varies with management, seasonality, and personal use. Verify rental eligibility and all figures independently.

The rental analysis is for signed-in readers

We publish each home's rental analysis on the signed-in side of the site, not on the open page. With a free account you will find, on the individual listings here that qualify, how rentals similar to that home perform: the average daily rate, occupancy, typical stay and booking window. The segment's daily rate, occupancy and tracked-rental count stay public on this page.

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What decides whether a unit here can be rented

These are benchmarks for a segment of comparable rentals, not a finding about Ariel Dunes. What a unit here may actually do is set by documents, and there are three of them. The recorded declaration sets any minimum lease term. The association's current rules can add stay-length minimums, rental caps, or owner-occupancy requirements the local code does not impose, and a board can change them after a purchase. The city or county that governs this address runs its own short-term-rental registration requirements over both. Request all three in their current form from the association and the local government during diligence, before purchasing with rental income in mind.

Rental rules on the MLS today: 24 of 24 active listings disclose“Short Term Rental - Allowed”. Always verify the association's current policy.

The neighborhood: Seascape Golf and Beach Resort

Ariel Dunes sits in or beside the Seascape Golf and Beach Resort Census neighborhood - the area figures below describe that neighborhood, not this building alone.

Neighborhood Data

Seascape Golf and Beach Resort at a Glance

4,321

Properties

$548K

Median Home Value

92%

Second Homes / Seasonal

Source: LiveBy, via the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 2023. Figures are area estimates for general market context.

Demographic information is provided for general informational purposes only and must not be used to make housing decisions on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, familial status, national origin, disability, or any other protected class. Dream Destin Realty supports the Fair Housing Act and equal-opportunity housing.

Reading this file

Where do these numbers come from?

Sale and inventory statistics are computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty and refreshed on a 30-day cycle. Based on information from ECAR for the period September 23, 2021 through September 22, 2026. Rental benchmarks are market-segment aggregates from Key Data - never figures for a specific unit. Neighborhood figures are LiveBy area estimates built on the U.S. Census American Community Survey.

Why is there no list of individual sold units?

18 units closed at Ariel Dunes in the trailing 12 months, from $350,000 to $802,000. MLS rules do not allow individual sold listings to be displayed publicly, so this page shows building-level statistics only - ask us for the unit-by-unitsold report and we'll walk you through it.

How are thin samples handled?

Any figure computed from fewer than three sales is withheld rather than published - a one-sale “median” is just that sale's price. Counts always show; prices earn their way onto the page.

Thinking about buying or selling at Ariel Dunes?

We track this building's sales and fees every month, and keep its rental rules on file - get the full picture before you commit.

Sale and inventory statistics are computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty.

Market statistics on this page are provided for informational purposes only. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and figures are not a guarantee of future market performance. Rental-income benchmarks are not a guarantee of future performance, so verify independently every time. These figures are not tax, legal, or investment advice; consult the appropriate licensed professional before making a financial decision. Data as of September 22, 2026.

Sources