Santa Rosa Beach · Community Market Report
Churchill Oaks
Every number a buyer, seller, or investor needs on one community: live inventory, closed-sale history, and the area around it - refreshed monthly from MLS data.
Inventory updated daily · Sale statistics updated September 29, 2026 · Next statistics update early October 2026
How Churchill Oaks is trading
8 homes closed in Churchill Oaks in the trailing 12 months at a median of $3,800,000, with a 96.6% median list-to-sale ratio. On the active side, 5 of 8 listings sit below original list price, and standing inventory works out to 12.0 months of supply at the current sales pace.
More than a third of what is platted here has never been built on, and part of that remainder still belongs to the developer, so the closings that set a figure in any given quarter are partly a decision about what to release rather than a reading of demand. Separate the finished houses from the raw lots before drawing any conclusion from a blended number. Then separate the lots from each other, because the county does not treat them alike: the adopted zoning map splits this plat between Conservation Residential at two units per acre and Neighborhood Infill, and the boundary between the two runs through the subdivision rather than around it. Density rights, not finish level, are doing part of the sorting. Build vintage barely helps, since almost every standing house went up inside one recent stretch. Ask for the mapped district on the specific parcel, weigh proximity to the bayou against what may actually be built there, and treat a thin month as a release schedule rather than a signal.
Year-over-year figures compare the 12 complete calendar months from September 2025 through August 2026 with the 12 before them. That window can differ from the trailing totals above, which run day-precise through September 29, 2026 rather than by whole calendar months.
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2021 | Sample too small |
| 2022 | $3.05M |
| 2023 | Sample too small |
| 2024 | $2.65M |
| 2025 | $3.62M |
| 2026 YTD | $3.75M |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2021 | Sample too small |
| 2022 | $834 |
| 2023 | Sample too small |
| 2024 | $995 |
| 2025 | $794 |
| 2026 YTD | $754 |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Sep 24 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | 1 |
| Nov 24 | 0 |
| Dec 24 | 0 |
| Jan 25 | 1 |
| Feb 25 | 0 |
| Mar 25 | 0 |
| Apr 25 | 1 |
| May 25 | 1 |
| Jun 25 | 1 |
| Jul 25 | 0 |
| Aug 25 | 3 |
| Sep 25 | 1 |
| Oct 25 | 0 |
| Nov 25 | 3 |
| Dec 25 | 0 |
| Jan 26 | 0 |
| Feb 26 | 0 |
| Mar 26 | 1 |
| Apr 26 | 1 |
| May 26 | 1 |
| Jun 26 | 2 |
| Jul 26 | 0 |
| Aug 26 | 0 |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Sep 24 | No data |
| Oct 24 | Sample too small |
| Nov 24 | No data |
| Dec 24 | No data |
| Jan 25 | Sample too small |
| Feb 25 | No data |
| Mar 25 | No data |
| Apr 25 | Sample too small |
| May 25 | Sample too small |
| Jun 25 | Sample too small |
| Jul 25 | No data |
| Aug 25 | $2.75M |
| Sep 25 | Sample too small |
| Oct 25 | No data |
| Nov 25 | $4M |
| Dec 25 | No data |
| Jan 26 | No data |
| Feb 26 | No data |
| Mar 26 | Sample too small |
| Apr 26 | Sample too small |
| May 26 | Sample too small |
| Jun 26 | Sample too small |
| Jul 26 | No data |
| Aug 26 | No data |
The monthly charts cover the 24 complete calendar months from September 2024 through August 2026, and a month with no closings is a zero bar rather than a gap. Their last 12 months are the window the year-over-year figures compare.
Based on information from ECAR for the period September 30, 2021 through September 29, 2026.
From the active file
8 homes are on the market in Churchill Oaks today - a sample of the current file:
$3,625,000
273 Churchill Oaks Drive
Santa Rosa Beach, FL 32459
$4,799,000
13 Tyler Drive
Santa Rosa Beach, FL 32459
$3,300,000
11 Bennett
Santa Rosa Beach, FL 32459
$3,995,000
295 Churchill Oaks Drive
Santa Rosa Beach, FL 32459
$3,325,000
37 Junop Court
Santa Rosa Beach, FL 32459
$3,999,000
68 Perrin
Santa Rosa Beach, FL 32459
The investor file
| Typical acquisition (median, 12 mo) | $3,800,000 |
|---|---|
| Middle-half range (25th-75th pct, 17 sales / 24 mo) | $3,185,000 - $3,999,000 |
| Median price, 2022 to 2026 | +23.0% ($3,050,000 to $3,750,000) |
| Average sale price (12 mo) | $3,737,734 |
| Sales volume, trailing 12 months | $29,901,875 |
| Sale price range, trailing 12 months | $3,185,000 - $4,027,875 |
| Bedrooms | Active | Sold (12 mo) | Median Sale Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 BR | 4 | 5 | $3,750,000 |
| 5 BR | 3 | 1 | Sample too small |
| 6 BR | 1 | 2 | Sample too small |
Based on information from ECAR for the period September 30, 2021 through September 29, 2026.
Rental rules on the MLS today: 0 of 8 active listings disclose“Short Term Rental - Allowed”; 8 disclose it is not allowed. Always verify current rules with the association or county before purchasing with rental income in mind.
The area: Churchill Oaks
Churchill Oaks sits in or beside the Churchill Oaks Census neighborhood - the figures below describe that area, not Churchill Oaks alone.
Neighborhood Data
Churchill Oaks at a Glance
234
Properties
$476K
Median Home Value
24%
Second Homes / Seasonal
Source: LiveBy, via the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey 2023. Figures are area estimates for general market context.
Demographic information is provided for general informational purposes only and must not be used to make housing decisions on the basis of race, color, religion, sex, familial status, national origin, disability, or any other protected class. Dream Destin Realty supports the Fair Housing Act and equal-opportunity housing.
Reading this file
Where do these numbers come from?
Sale and inventory statistics are computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty and refreshed on a 30-day cycle. Based on information from ECAR for the period September 30, 2021 through September 29, 2026. Neighborhood figures are LiveBy area estimates built on the U.S. Census American Community Survey.
Why is there no list of individual sold homes?
8 homes closed in Churchill Oaks in the trailing 12 months, from $3,185,000 to $4,027,875. MLS rules do not allow individual sold listings to be displayed publicly, so this page shows area-level statistics only - ask us for the street-by-street sold review and we'll walk you through it.
How are thin samples handled?
Any figure computed from fewer than three sales is withheld rather than published - a one-sale “median” is just that sale's price. Counts always show; prices earn their way onto the page.
Thinking about buying or selling in Churchill Oaks?
We track this community's sales, inventory, and rules every month - get the full picture before you commit.
- MLS market data (ECAR) - updated September 28, 2026
- Neighborhood data (LiveBy / U.S. Census ACS) - updated September 28, 2026
Sale and inventory statistics are computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty.
Market statistics on this page are provided for informational purposes only. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and figures are not a guarantee of future market performance. These figures are not tax, legal, or investment advice; consult the appropriate licensed professional before making a financial decision. Data as of September 29, 2026.
Sources
- Churchill Oaks Homeowners Association, Inc., Florida Division of Corporations (accessed August 21, 2026)
- Florida statewide parcel roll, Churchill Oaks parcel-identifier series, Florida Department of Revenue (accessed August 23, 2026)
- National Hydrography Dataset, Hogtown Bayou, United States Geological Survey (accessed August 21, 2026)
- Adopted zoning polygons, Churchill Oaks and its surroundings, Walton County (accessed August 23, 2026)
- Neighborhood Planning Program, current approved neighborhood plans, Walton County (accessed August 21, 2026)
- Planning overlay areas, Walton County (accessed August 23, 2026)
- Vacation rental zoning guidance, Walton County frequently asked questions (accessed August 21, 2026)