Santa Rosa Beach · Neighborhood Market Report
The Shoal Market Analytics
Every number a buyer, seller, or investor needs on one neighborhood: live inventory and closed-sale history - refreshed monthly from MLS data.
Inventory updated daily · Sale statistics updated November 4, 2026 · Next statistics update early December 2026
How The Shoal is trading
7 homes closed in The Shoal in the trailing 12 months at a median of $855,000, with a 98.5% median list-to-sale ratio. On the active side, 2 of 2 listings sit below original list price, and standing inventory works out to 3.4 months of supply at the current sales pace.
Resolve the name before reading any number: listings say The Shoal, the county says THE SHOALS, and only the parcel-number prefix 34-2S-19-24060 ties them together. Count lots, not records. The 36 county records collapse to 30 lots and one common parcel of streets, common ground and wetlands, about 6.9 acres against roughly 8.2 in all 30 lots, so any acreage average that includes it misleads. Flood splits the plat too. Sixteen lots lie wholly in Zone X while 14 hold some Zone A ground, up to all of one lot, and the wetlands layer touches eight of those 14, so a plat-wide median blends lots facing different flood and wetland questions. All 20 houses date from 2025, which leaves no older house to compare with. The August 19, 2026 search showed three active and 26 sold listings, a small snapshot to refresh before it guides a decision.
Year-over-year figures compare the 12 complete calendar months from November 2025 through October 2026 with the 12 before them. That window can differ from the trailing totals above, which run day-precise through November 4, 2026 rather than by whole calendar months.
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2024 | $834K |
| 2025 | $911K |
| 2026 YTD | $855K |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| 2024 | $311 |
| 2025 | $311 |
| 2026 YTD | $314 |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Nov 24 | 1 |
| Dec 24 | 2 |
| Jan 25 | 1 |
| Feb 25 | 0 |
| Mar 25 | 3 |
| Apr 25 | 0 |
| May 25 | 2 |
| Jun 25 | 0 |
| Jul 25 | 0 |
| Aug 25 | 0 |
| Sep 25 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | 1 |
| Nov 25 | 0 |
| Dec 25 | 0 |
| Jan 26 | 1 |
| Feb 26 | 1 |
| Mar 26 | 0 |
| Apr 26 | 2 |
| May 26 | 3 |
| Jun 26 | 0 |
| Jul 26 | 0 |
| Aug 26 | 0 |
| Sep 26 | 0 |
| Oct 26 | 0 |
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Nov 24 | Sample too small |
| Dec 24 | Sample too small |
| Jan 25 | Sample too small |
| Feb 25 | No data |
| Mar 25 | $911K |
| Apr 25 | No data |
| May 25 | Sample too small |
| Jun 25 | No data |
| Jul 25 | No data |
| Aug 25 | No data |
| Sep 25 | No data |
| Oct 25 | Sample too small |
| Nov 25 | No data |
| Dec 25 | No data |
| Jan 26 | Sample too small |
| Feb 26 | Sample too small |
| Mar 26 | No data |
| Apr 26 | Sample too small |
| May 26 | $855K |
| Jun 26 | No data |
| Jul 26 | No data |
| Aug 26 | No data |
| Sep 26 | No data |
| Oct 26 | No data |
The monthly charts cover the 24 complete calendar months from November 2024 through October 2026, and a month with no closings is a zero bar rather than a gap. Their last 12 months are the window the year-over-year figures compare.
Based on information from ECAR for the period November 5, 2021 through November 4, 2026.
From the active file
2 homes are on the market in The Shoal today:
The investor file
| Typical acquisition (median, 12 mo) | $855,000 |
|---|---|
| Middle-half range (25th-75th pct, 17 sales / 24 mo) | $855,000 - $915,000 |
| Median price, 2024 to 2026 | +2.6% ($833,665 to $855,000) |
| Average sale price (12 mo) | $868,250 |
| Sales volume, trailing 12 months | $6,077,750 |
| Sale price range, trailing 12 months | $797,900 - $931,850 |
| Bedrooms | Active | Sold (12 mo) | Median Sale Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 BR | 0 | 3 | $855,000 |
| 5 BR | 2 | 4 | $910,000 |
Based on information from ECAR for the period November 5, 2021 through November 4, 2026.
Rental rules on the MLS today: 0 of 2 active listings disclose"Short Term Rental - Allowed"; 2 disclose it is not allowed. Always verify current rules with the association or county before purchasing with rental income in mind.
Reading this file
Where do these numbers come from?
Sale and inventory statistics are computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty and were last refreshed on November 4, 2026. Based on information from ECAR for the period November 5, 2021 through November 4, 2026.
Why is there no list of individual sold homes?
7 homes closed in The Shoal in the trailing 12 months, from $797,900 to $931,850. MLS rules do not allow individual sold listings to be displayed publicly, so this page shows area-level statistics only - ask us for the street-by-street sold review and we'll walk you through it.
How are thin samples handled?
Any figure computed from fewer than three sales is withheld rather than published - a one-sale "median" is just that sale's price. Counts always show; prices earn their way onto the page.
Thinking about buying or selling in The Shoal?
We track this neighborhood's sales, inventory, and rules every month - get the full picture before you commit.
- MLS market data (ECAR) - updated November 3, 2026
Sale and inventory statistics are computed from ECAR MLS data by Dream Destin Realty.
Market statistics on this page are provided for informational purposes only. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and figures are not a guarantee of future market performance. These figures are not tax, legal, or investment advice; consult the appropriate licensed professional before making a financial decision. Data as of November 4, 2026.
Sources
- Walton County open planning GIS, THE SHOALS subdivision header (accessed September 29, 2026)
- Walton County open planning GIS, THE SHOALS parcel series (accessed September 29, 2026)
- FEMA National Flood Hazard Layer, Special Flood Hazard Areas layer (accessed September 29, 2026)
- Walton County Geographic Information Systems department (accessed September 29, 2026)
- Walton County open planning GIS, address points at The Shoals (accessed October 4, 2026)
- Walton County open planning GIS, zoning districts around The Shoals (accessed October 4, 2026)
- Walton County open planning GIS, mapped wetlands near The Shoals (accessed October 4, 2026)
- Walton County open planning GIS, flood hazard areas around The Shoals (accessed October 4, 2026)
- Florida statewide cadastral, The Shoals parcels (accessed October 4, 2026)